MODELOWANIE ELEMENTÓW GEOLOGICZNEGO RYZYKA SKŁADOWANIA CO2 Z WYKORZYSTANIEM PROGRAMU PETREL NA PRZYKŁADZIE ANALIZY RYZYKA STRUKTURALNEGO ANTYKLINY ZAOSIA

Abstract

MODELLING CONSTITUENTS OF GEOLOGICAL RISK OF THE CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE (CCS) USING THE EXAMPLE OF PETREL-BASED STRUCTURAL UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF THE ZAOSIE ANTICLINE   Abstract. The article presents the results of a preliminary risk analysis of the spatial geological structural model (3D) of the Zaosie Anticline. They are illustrated by the example of structural uncertainty analysis of the top surface of the Ciechocinek Beds – a potential seal of the Lower Jurassic CCS system. The article focuses on methodological aspects of uncertainty modelling, however, the results obtained have practical importance for improving the safety and enhance the credibility of the geometry of the potential storage structure model. They show that it is necessary to introduce additional input data for unambiguous assessment of the amplitude and geometry of the anticline closure.